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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Tommaso who wrote (27938)	3/6/2005 8:36:10 PM
From: mishedlo	Respond to of 110194

Tell you what, Mish. If by deflation, you mean that we might see, in the next few years: 1. A decline in the broad stock markets by over 30%. 2. A decline in various housing markets in the U. S. of over 30%. 3. A further decline in the dollar of over 30%. Then I agree with you. All those things seem to me not only possible but likely. If those persist for years we might be in the deflation trap. 15% a year for 3 years would do it. But technically we would also need to see a flat or falling money supply. Mish