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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (27988)3/7/2005 3:57:20 PM
From: regli  Respond to of 110194
 
"The EU is a hodge podge of mixed goals and one currency and one interest rate is going to pose problems for various countries at various times. It is a mess IMO."

I agree that Europe is a hodgepodge but if you look at the evolution of the EU since the early 60s, it is amazing to what degree things have come together. VERY, very few ever expected a France and Germany in such unison and even less likely a Maastricht Treaty with such wide ranging institutional integration.

Europe has come a long, long way. The Euro has led to much more efficient commerce and significantly increased competition. Nowadays the French go shopping in Germany without having to exchange money or ever encountering a border guard. Competition is thriving. It should therefore be no surprise that heavily maligned Europe has had a larger increase in output per hour worked than the U.S. in the past decade.

startribune.com

This actually in part explains why Europe has increased its exports in the face of a significantly rising currency.

Interestingly, I recently came across an article that advocated different interest rate levels for different areas in the U.S. Such a policy might have made a lot of sense during the rough times in the “Rust Belt” while California was flying high.



To: mishedlo who wrote (27988)3/8/2005 2:49:25 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Why do you think it is much different than the US? During the DOT COM rage the midwest and the South were suffering but the FED raised rates to lower rampant speculation on both coast.

Today Tulsa OK, RE market is not Florida NY or CA and a rise in interest rates will hurt them more etc... etc......etc