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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (28096)3/8/2005 1:31:38 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
I believe yen carry trade must be done in USTBond futures
that could be my error

the currency risk is 18% if leveraged borrow side is in Japan
the leverage must be kept clear of the yen currency exchange risk

borrow 1.5% money from Japan, say $10M
then go for 30:1 leverage in USTBond futures contracts
4+% yield grows in contract value over time
the yield differential is built-in to contract value
leverage comes from the contract itself
currency risk with yen comes off the top, after leverage
100% minus 18% = 80% or so

unsure if USTBond futures are backed by TENS contracts
or THIRTYS

make sense?
/ jim



To: mishedlo who wrote (28096)3/8/2005 2:57:02 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
Treasuries denominated in Yen, weekly chart:

stockcharts.com[h,a]waclyyay[pc10!c20!c30!f][vc60][iUb14!Li14,3]&pref=G

Note: This does not include income from coupons, but it's pretty clear the BOJ is getting clobbered on this one.