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Strategies & Market Trends : Natural Resource Stocks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (22684)3/11/2005 12:13:35 AM
From: Taikun  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 108881
 
Yes...'when crude breaks hard'. How hard would that be. Crude could break hard and still be at $44.

chartingyourfutures.com

Analysts use $32 for crude...if it breaks below $40 and stays there, I might agree. I would say Icahn is right, they should lock in $55 and not wait for $44, what I'm saying is that at $39, these energy companies have massive profits that aren't reflected in the targets since the analysts are using $32, and to get $32 as avg price for 2005 (2004 was 41), we'd need avg $26 for 10 months.

Is crude going to go to $26 the next 10 months??

That's what we need to hit analysts targets for 2005 of $32. We had over 1 month at $55 and 1 month at $50.

Icahn being right doesn't make me wrong.