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To: Les H who wrote (11903)3/11/2005 10:19:49 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29595
 

Banks (114 stocks)
BKX Amex Banking Index and RKH Regional Bank Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market BKX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Mar 11 99 25 32 18 47 -97 -0.56
_Mar 10 100 36 41 25 52 -67 -0.42
_Mar 9 100 32 32 24 50 -37 -0.39 DOWN
_Mar 8 101 68 57 38 62 -34 -0.27
_Mar 7 102 84 66 40 64 -63 -0.38
_Mar 4 101 91 69 46 68 -93 -0.58
_Mar 3 100 75 39 27 59 -67 -0.79
_Mar 2 100 70 37 22 60 -38 -0.81
_Mar 1 100 75 47 28 65 44 -0.87 UP

Oil & Gas Drillers, Field Services, and Equipment (55 stocks)
OSX Amex Oil Services Index and OIH Oil Services Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market OSX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Mar 11 137 18 38 84 95 -60 3.57
_Mar 10 137 11 35 80 95 45 4.07
_Mar 9 139 35 64 91 96 76 4.73
_Mar 8 143 71 87 95 96 96 5.23 DOWN
_Mar 7 144 87 91 95 96 77 5.32
_Mar 4 145 96 95 96 96 56 5.25
_Mar 3 143 85 93 95 96 52 4.95 UP
_Mar 2 139 51 80 93 96 73 4.81
_Mar 1 138 44 78 93 96 94 4.98 DOWN

Retailers (227 stocks)
RLX Amex Retailing Index and RTH Retailers Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market RLX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Mar 11 437 43 61 64 73 -35 -0.16
_Mar 10 439 46 59 64 75 -37 -0.10
_Mar 9 438 53 61 64 74 40 -0.10 DOWN
_Mar 8 441 69 65 67 78 68 -0.05
_Mar 7 443 82 70 71 81 82 -0.09
_Mar 4 442 86 72 71 81 63 -0.22
_Mar 3 439 77 66 68 79 44 -0.37
_Mar 2 440 74 63 66 78 26 -0.44
_Mar 1 440 74 64 65 78 -30 -0.53

Drugs (86 stocks)
DRG Philadelphia Pharma Index and PPH Pharmaceutical Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market DRG 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Mar 11 318 30 38 37 41 70 1.89
_Mar 10 321 40 44 38 41 78 2.02
_Mar 9 319 34 37 38 40 87 2.05 DOWN
_Mar 8 322 46 43 45 41 93 2.16
_Mar 7 324 47 43 44 40 99 2.13
_Mar 4 322 51 51 45 41 100 1.95
_Mar 3 321 51 48 44 43 100 1.79
_Mar 2 319 58 52 45 44 100 1.63
_Mar 1 319 59 52 46 45 98 1.51

link to February data
Message 21089466



To: Les H who wrote (11903)3/18/2005 6:55:27 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29595
 

9-month cycle

Schedule: 11-, 22-, and 44-week cycles lows starting from Sep 21, 2001

_ cycle tendencies
_ 11-week 22-week 44-week SPX change high low range
Oct 10, 02 start start start 769 none
Nov 5 green green green 915 +146 924 +155 N.A. N.A.
Dec 2 yellow green green 934 + 19 954 + 39 872 - 43 81
Dec 26 red yellow yellow 890 - 44 934 + 0 880 - 54 54
Jan 21, 03 green yellow yellow 887 - 3 935 + 45 869 - 21 66
Feb 18 yellow red red 851 - 36 890 + 3 806 - 81 84
Mar 12 red red red 804 - 47 852 + 1 789 - 62 63
Apr 7 green green green 880 + 76 905 +101 804 - 0 101
May 2 yellow green green 930 + 50 930 + 50 863 - 17 67
May 28 red yellow yellow 953 + 23 959 + 29 912 - 18 47
Jun 23 green yellow yellow 982 + 29 1015 + 62 946 - 7 69
Jul 18 yellow red red 993 + 11 1015 + 33 962 - 20 53
Aug 6 red red red 967 - 26 1001 + 8 961 - 32 40
Sep 2 green green green 1022 + 55 1022 + 55 964 - 3 58
Sep 29 yellow green green 1006 - 16 1040 + 18 995 - 27 45
Oct 22 red yellow green 1030 + 24 1054 + 48 990 - 16 64
Nov 17 green yellow yellow 1043 + 13 1064 + 34 1018 - 12 46
Dec 15 yellow red yellow 1068 + 25 1083 + 40 1031 - 12 52
Jan 7, 04 red red yellow 1126 + 58 1126 + 58 1068 - 0 58
Feb 2 green green red 1135 + 9 1155 + 29 1115 - 11 40
Feb 27 yellow green red 1145 + 10 1159 + 24 1124 - 11 35
Mar 24 red yellow red 1091 - 54 1163 + 18 1087 - 58 76
Apr 14 green yellow green 1128 + 37 1150 + 59 1091 - 0 59
May 5 yellow red green 1121 - 7 1147 + 19 1107 - 21 40
May 25 red red green 1113 - 8 1121 + 0 1076 - 45 45
Jun 18 green green yellow 1135 + 22 1142 + 29 1110 - 3 32
Jul 15 yellow green yellow 1107 - 28 1146 + 11 1106 - 29 40
Aug 13 red yellow yellow 1065 - 4 1116 + 9 1061 - 40 49
Sep 7 green yellow red 1121 + 56 1124 + 59 1065 - 0 59
Sep 29 yellow red red 1115 - 6 1140 + 22 1101 - 17 39
Oct 22 red red red 1096 - 38 1142 + 8 1094 - 40 48
Nov 18 green green green 1183 + 87 1188 + 92 1090 - 6 98
Dec 14 yellow green green 1203 + 20 1205 + 22 1168 - 15 37
Jan 7, 05 red yellow green 1186 - 17 1218 + 15 1182 - 21 36
Feb 3 green yellow yellow 1190 + 4 1196 + 10 1164 - 22 32
Mar 1 yellow red yellow 1210 + 20 1212 + 22 1184 - 6 28
Mar 25 red red yellow 1190 - 20 1229 + 19 1183 - 27 46
Apr 20 green green red
May 17 yellow green red
Jun 10 red yellow red

22-week cycle

Sep 17-21, 01 base low 944 next high 1173 on Dec 06 (week 11)
Dec 03-07, 01 11 weeks high 1173 next high 1177 on Jan 07 (week 4)
Feb 18-22, 02 22 weeks trough low 1074 next high 1173 on Mar 11 (week 3)
May 06-10, 02 11 weeks low 1049 next high 1106 on May 17 (week 1)
Jul 22-26, 02 22 weeks trough low 775 next high 965 on Aug 22 (week 4)
Oct 07-11, 02 55 weeks trough low 768 next high 954 on Dec 02 (week 7)
Dec 23-27, 02 11 weeks low 873 next high 935 on Jan 13 (week 2)
Mar 10-14, 03 22 weeks trough low 789 next high 965 on May 30 (week 11)
May 19-23, 03 10 weeks high 944 next high 1015 on Jul 14 (week 7)
Aug 4- 8, 03 21 weeks trough flat 960 next high 1048 on Oct 21 (week 11)
Oct 20-24, 03 11 weeks high 1048 next high 1132 on Jan 9 (week 11)
Jan 5- 9, 04 22 weeks high 1132 next high 1163 on Mar 5 (week 8)
Mar 22-26, 04 54 weeks trough low 1087 next high 1150 on Apr 5 (week 2)
May 24-28, 04 9 weeks flat 1090 next high 1146 on Jun 25 (week 4)
Aug 9-13, 04 20 weeks trough low 1061 next high 1142 on Oct 7 (week 8)
Oct 18-22, 04 10 weeks flat 1090 next high 1218 on Jan 3 (week 11)
Jan 3- 7, 05 21 weeks high 1186 next high 1208 on Feb 11 (week 5)
Mar 21-25, 05 52 weeks trough low

26-week Dow cycle troughs
Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379
Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks
Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks
Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks
Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks
Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks
Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks
Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks
Oct 10, 02 Dow 7197 length 35 weeks
Mar 12, 03 Dow 7416 length 22 weeks
Aug 6, 03 Dow 8997 length 22 weeks
Mar 24, 04 Dow 10007 length 32 weeks
Aug 13, 04 Dow 9784 length 20 weeks
sample size 12 Spring sample 7 Fall sample 5
total 305 weeks total 152 weeks total 153 weeks
average 25 weeks average 22 weeks average 31 weeks
st dev 2 weeks st dev 1 weeks st dev 2 weeks

next approximate Dow trough
Dec 31, 04 20 weeks minimum length in samples
Feb 4, 05 25 weeks average length in samples
Mar 18, 05 31 weeks average length in Fall samples

source of dates

timeanddate.com