To: philv who wrote (22625 ) 3/12/2005 10:06:56 PM From: The Wharf Respond to of 81187 This is not what I read but is similar in vein, darn I wished I knew where I was reading.I would hate to be sending you Kleenex. VBGreuters.ca Business Canada Trade Surplus Hits 2-Year Low in January Fri March 11, 2005 11:24 AM GMT-05:00 By Luke McCann OTTAWA (Reuters) - Canada's trade surplus fell to a two-year low in January, Statistics Canada said on Friday, heightening concerns about the drag on the economy posed by the recently muscular Canadian dollar. Canada's trade surplus in January was C$4.0 billion ($3.3 billion), down from C$5.2 billion in December and below expectations for a surplus of C$5.5 billion. It was the smallest trade surplus since the C$4.0 billion recorded in December 2002, and resulted mainly from a 12.5 percent drop in exports of energy products in January. "While there may be substantial offsets on the domestic front, it does appear as if real net exports will remain a drag on GDP growth in the first quarter, and consequently, it is going to be very difficult for the Canadian economy to record growth of more than 2.5 percent," Marc Levesque, TD Securities chief strategist, North America, said in a note. "The Canadian economy may not be crumbling, but it looks as if this report is entirely consistent with the Bank of Canada's stand-pat (interest-rate) policy stance. On the back of the trade data alone, do not expect the (central bank) to move off the sidelines any time soon." Last week, the Bank of Canada held its key overnight lending rate at 2.5 percent, but it signaled rate increases will be necessary in the future. Statscan said that export prices for natural gas and crude petroleum both dropped considerably in January. "The decreases were entirely a result of these lower prices as volumes actually increased," the agency said in its daily bulletin. Exports fell by 1.6 percent from December. But Statscan said that if energy exports were removed from the total, overall exports in fact grew by 0.8 percent in January. Imports rose by 1.9 percent from December against a backdrop of solid growth in consumer demand. Canadian exports to the United States in January fell 2.3 percent to C$29.5 billion, while imports from south of the border inched up 0.3 percent. That put Canada's trade surplus with the United States at C$8.1 billion, down from C$8.8 billion in December.