Que - nothing will happen with regards to Kyoto in Canada other than cosmetic actions. Just watch. The whole concept of going back to emission levels of the 1990s is patently absurd. Kyoto is a political cannard.
Now look at this one!
U.S. Re-Explores Oil Shale Options by John J. Fialka Fri, Mar 11, 2005 21:35 GMT
UINTAH COUNTY, Utah - Rising oil prices have sparked new U.S. government and corporate interest in developing oil shale, a tantalizingly plentiful but difficult-to-access resource largely abandoned after oil prices crashed in the early 1980s.
The Pentagon is working on plans to direct, within four years, a portion of its $5.5 billion (4.1 billion euros) fuel-purchasing budget for high-quality oil, extracted from sedimentary-rock formations called shale, here and in the surrounding region. The move is designed to catalyze a new industry that can supply the military with oil from untapped domestic sources, according to a Defense Department official.
The Interior Department, meanwhile, soon will lease tracts of land in the western U.S. for research and development of oil shale -- something it hasn't done since the 1970s. Officials have received positive comments from independent producers and two big oil companies, Royal Dutch/Shell Group and Exxon Mobil Corp.
Shell has informed the Interior Department it has spent "many tens of millions of dollars" on field research for a new development process and plans to start a U.S. research project by year-end. Shell said in a filing with the Interior Department that the U.S. should designate oil from shale as a "strategically important domestic fuel that should be developed on an accelerated basis." The company isn't seeking government assistance but would like the government to elevate oil shale on its energy-priority list. Shell also announced in January that it was working with China's Jilin province to develop oil-shale deposits there.
With an estimated two trillion barrels of shale oil under U.S. soil -- roughly 60% of the world's known deposits -- successful development would, at least on paper, begin to change the international oil business. The U.S. would become the world's single biggest oil source, far surpassing Saudi Arabia's proven reserves of 261 billion barrels.
As oil prices head toward the $60-a-barrel mark and uncertainty hangs over the Middle East and other major suppliers such as Venezuela and Russia, there is renewed interest in so-called unconventional hydrocarbons: Fossil fuels that can't be extracted using traditional methods. Canada, the world leader, now pumps more than a million barrels of oil a day from tar-sand formations in Alberta -- selling 95% to the U.S.
"We are going back, looking at the old reports and reanalyzing old samples -- we're confident you can make a quality jet fuel from shale," said Theodore K. Barna, who heads a team of Pentagon fuel experts, in a recent interview. "We'll be using our domestic potential to produce petroleum and keeping the money here in this country."
Widespread development of U.S. oil shale is far from certain. The complex process of removing energy from rocks remains much more expensive than conventional drilling for oil and would be viable only if oil prices remain high. "The magic number for all of this seems to be about $30 a barrel," said Mr. Barna, a deputy assistant undersecretary who tracks advanced nuclear, biological and chemical technology developments in the office of Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld.
Many producers and investors are wary, after about $5 billion of losses in shale investments two decades ago when the most recent government-industry effort to produce oil from shale collapsed. Oil prices defied predictions of hitting $100 a barrel and instead dived as low as $10. In Rifle, Colorado, people still talk about "Black Sunday" -- May 2, 1982, when Exxon announced it was abandoning its nearby shale mine. That ended hundreds of jobs, crashed local real- estate values and killed many small businesses. In 1985, after raising big economic hopes here in Uintah County, three other big oil companies abandoned a $150 million shale mine, failing to produce a single drop of oil.
"We don't want to create a boom expectation when we're not ready for that yet," said Terry O'Connor, a vice president at Shell's exploration-and-production subsidiary in Houston, as he toured his snow-covered research center in western Colorado, where Shell has 16 oil-shale wells in operation. He told a local business group this year that his company is "moving forward in a cautious but increasingly optimistic manner" toward a decision to build a 1,000- barrel-a-day pilot facility.
Oil shale is found in this remote part of Utah amid the remnants of a thick layer of sediment including algae and plants that accumulated on ancient lake beds. Over millions of years the sediment was compressed into clay-like formations that contain kerogen, a high- quality oil, comparable in quality to "sweet" crude. There are two ways to extract the fuel. One is to mine the rock containing it, then to crush the rock and heat it in giant retorts, or vessels, that trap the oil. A second method -- under research by both Shell and Exxon Mobil -- heats the rock while it still is in the ground and then pumps the kerogen out.
There is no serious talk about offering direct government subsidies or tax credits for shale, the way former U.S. President Jimmy Carter did amid the oil crisis of the late 1970s. The closest step to industrial policy now is through the Pentagon fuel program, which buys 300,000 barrels of oil a day. Mr. Barna says the military will declare that a certain, as yet unspecified, portion of that spending will be earmarked starting in 2009 for fuel specifications that match oil shale and other unconventional domestic sources such as oil made from coal.
The world's richest source of oil shale is called the Green River Formation, 16,500 square miles (42,900 square kilometers) of deposits beneath parts of Colorado, Utah and Wyoming. The most productive part of that is the "Mahogany Zone," a layer of rock that runs through it. The owner of 80% of the resource is the Interior Department, which became the caretaker after Congress zeroed out the Energy Department's shale program in 1985.
© 2005 Dow Jones Newswires. |