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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (25603)3/14/2005 1:48:00 PM
From: John Vosilla  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 116555
 
Eventually treasuries will make a new all time low yield.
I am convinced.
I will take a look at the trendline later this afternoon


My guess is if it happens it will be in late 2007 or 2008 after a large rise and housing crash, just in time for the next election. For now watching it closely to see if it holds here and continues to rise. If it drops rapidly back to the under 4% area you are probably right, deflation, possible depression and inverted yield curve soon. Would it be an understatement to say we are at a true crossroad here between deflation and stagflation. Which fork in the road will the treasuries take?