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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Henry Niman who wrote (61024)3/14/2005 6:45:18 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
<A pandemic affects 1/4 to 1/3 of the world's population, and H5N1 has a case fatality rate of 70%. 70% of 1.5 billion exceeds one billion>

A world-class pandemic gets a lot more than that. In Europe in the Black Death, allegedly a third of Europe died. That meant at least a third got sick, probably half, or even more.

It's claimed it was bubonic plague, but from what I read, it was more like a viral haemorraghic fever. I doubt that a flea-borne infection could make such dramatically quick rounds in a couple of seasons.

H5N1 is a world-class doomster topic for the little boy who cried wolf. This really could be the wolf. It's like the top of the stock market - nobody rings a bell to say this really is the big one, so call 1.800.GET.ME.OUT

Mqurice