To: DavesM who wrote (675747 ) 3/18/2005 10:51:57 AM From: DuckTapeSunroof Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769670 "O.K. I looked at the bill (SJR2), and it does not prohibit the export of oil from ANWR." Right. Like I said. "But neither does the bill authorize or approve a new pipeline." Correct: NO NEED TO! The new pipeline was *authorized* LAST YEAR in a different bill. (As a matter-of-interest... because the new pipeline is desired so much by various US politicians and oil executives, the *Canadians* have recently seized upon it's construction as a point of leverage they can exert over the US --- to get the US government to stop ignoring rulings of the NAFTA court, mostly with respect to the tariffs the US imposes on Canadian softwood exports. The Canadians have 'leaked' the news that is the US doesn't start implimenting the NAFTA rulings (which have gone Canada's way) then Canada might 'slow down' the construction of the new pipeline across B.C. with delays in getting permits, etc.) "This means that the oil is expected to be transported thru the Trans Alaskan pipeline." Some, and in part... but the new pipeline is intended to move the bulk of it over time. "Once again, I believe the exportation of oil from that pipeline is prohibited (I believe that a bill has been submitted prohibiting exporting ANWR oil just to clarify things)." Not yet law. Probably will not be passed at all. "I also found out, that in 1995, a law was passed allowing the export of oil from the Trans Alaskan pipeline (during the Clinton Administration), a small amount of oil was legally exported (less than 10%)." Yep. "So, I believe it was illegal to sell the oil from the Alaskan North Slope from 1973-1995, and from 2000 till now." Er, nope: Firstly , from the beginning there was no law restricting exports from the pipeline and Valdez. (Congress in the seventies *debated* such a ban, but oil industry executives assured them that 1) choosing the route to Valdez would allow quicker construction then the free route Canada offered to take oil to the upper midwest. Turns out that assurance was WRONG, as construction took *longer* then the engineering estimates for the Canadian route had predicted. And, 2) that all the Alaskan oil would go to 'hungry' US refineries on the West Coast. But, once the oil was loaded on tankers, the oil industry found out (or already knew) that higher profits could be made by delivering to some foreign buyers --- at that point-in-time, primarily Japan --- and so began to sell oil there. Secondly , this began to become a scandal... so Congress later passed the band on exports which you referred to earlier. (Which makes the trans-Alaska-to-Valdez-route choice rather foolish, since there is much less risk of spillage with a pipeline that doesn't end in a port for trans-shippage... such as the proposed Canadian route to the Mid-West oil pipeline nexus would have given us... and the midwest is the ONE US region that is subject to shortage-enduced price spikes, so says the US Dept. of Energy. But, of course, with ocean-going tankers you have more options for customers to deliver to... and the potential for better prices. But if exports are *banned*, then the Valdez route seems to be a dog with fleas compared to the all-over-land Canadian route.) Thirdly , as you pointed out, in 1995 the ban on foreign sales of Alaskan oil was removed.... "Canadian synthetic oil (oil sands) are sent to Colorado, and can now be sent to the Chicago area - with expansion of Canadian pipelines planned." Like I pointed out: Canada *just* inked an agreement to sell 49% interest in a new pipeline to the Chinese government. Purpose is to export oil sands production to China. (They also authorized the Chinese to invest in oil sands production companies.) Obviously, the US will not be the 'only' export market for Canadian oil for long....