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To: RetiredNow who wrote (67416)3/19/2005 8:00:06 AM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
Hi everyone, here's one bright spot about the economy. ECRI is the most accurate at forecast the ups and downs of our economy. They are really good at forecasting turning points using their leading indicators. Anyway, this is what they have to say about our economy.......

Reuters
Weekly Leading Index Rises
03/18/2005

NEW YORK, March 18 (Reuters) - A leading index of the U.S. economy rose in the latest week amid an increase in mortgage applications and a decrease in jobless claims, a report showed on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, an independent forecasting group, said its weekly leading index rose to 135.9 in the week ended March 11 compared with 135.2 in the previous week.

The index's annualized growth rate, which smoothes out weekly fluctuations, rose to 3.6 percent from 3.0 percent in the prior week -- putting the growth rate at a 41 week high.

"After it correctly anticipated the slowing in 2004, the WLI is now pointing to a soft landing for the economy and an acceleration in growth starting in the second half of 2005," said Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of ECRI.