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Technology Stocks : Tivo (TIVO) Interactive TV -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Andre Williamson who wrote (1580)3/25/2005 4:30:33 PM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2093
 
here's a photo of an Extender: winsupersite.com

as i said, this stuff seems strictly bleeding edge for the time being. but these technologies can ramp very fast as we've seen with MP3 players and DVD players.

? So unless you're happy hooking up your Media Extender wirelessly with a multi-purpose PC

that seems the most logical way to do it--and in a couple years they could easily come with built-in WiFi (just as Tivo probably will). that's the point--most people who would buy a Tivo have a PC anyway (don't you?). so if it's an MCE PC, they just go buy one of these extenders they way they would buy a DVD player. perhaps the functionality is eventually built into TVs themselves.

i agree that the "dedicated box" market is very small. but once these extenders are widely available, then it seems Tivo is the more top-heavy one--after all, Tivo doesn't make it easy to run multiple TVs off a single box. they want you to have a box for each TV (complete with extra subscriptions).

right now, i have two DVRs on separate TVs, which seems a waste. i look forward to the day when a centralized MCE hub eliminates this need.

no wonder Tivo only has a million subscribers outside the DirecTV.

Pay for a lifetime subscription, then no subscription fees

yeah, right--$300 for the lifetime of the box, not the buyer. i don't think that'll fly for many more years.



To: Andre Williamson who wrote (1580)3/25/2005 4:46:26 PM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 2093
 
I don't really see the mass-market attraction of HDTV anyway - too expensive for the improvement it offers. Of course, there's a niche group that love it, of course

i don't see HDTV as a niche for long. once you watch HDTV, you don't really want to watch the standard stuff. in fact, i only watch stuff that's on HDTV (except tennis, because the Tennis Channel is standard).

i think it's all a matter of price point. at 3-5K, it may be niche, but look at what happens as the prices decline. in fact the HDTV price points are coming down quickly, and i think that'll change the way everybody watches. i bought a Sony 30" CRT HDTV for just $900 last summer and i don't like regular TV anymore.

considering what boob-tubes we Americans are, i think sub-$1000 is a good price point for an HDTV. the CRT quality is awesome, but at 30" it is probably way too big for most consumers (not the screen size, but the fact that the CRT tube becomes so massive this beast weighs more than 150 lbs). sizewise the LCD-based models are much more attractive, but last summer at least they were still way too expensive for my taste. but once they go below 1K, look out.

the fact that Tivo doesn't support HDTV today is why i didn't sign up with them (i don't want to switch to DirecTV). i think there's a significant overlap between DVR users and HDTV owners. unfortunately, i am stuck with the very lousy Scientific Atlanta HD-DVR which works with Time-Warner. otherwise i would get Tivo. but by the time Tivo is HD-ready, i think it will be possible to junk both my DVRs and buy extenders for MCE, with equivalent or better functionality, and avoiding having to pay fees to Tivo or Time Warner for extra DVRs/digital receivers.

personally, i find it hard to understand why somebody would go to the trouble of buying a Tivo just to record garbage-quality TV.