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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: jjayxxxx who wrote (154624)	3/31/2005 10:56:37 AM
From: DRBES	Respond to of 275872

My random number generator is currently inoperable, guess I will miss it.

To: jjayxxxx who wrote (154624)	3/31/2005 7:00:36 PM
From: niceguy767	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 275872

What's the trade-off between early entry bonus points and price variance? For example, it's much easier to predict the closing price on Apr 12 than it is today as the price may be significantly different from today's close of $16.12 on Apr 12. If AMD is at $20 come April 12, my price prediction would be different than were it at today's price of $16.12 on Apr 12. What I'm saying is that revenue category estimates made today are unlikely to change, unless, of course, AMD were to provide comment, good or bad, between now and Apr 12, but price estimate is very much a fuction of price at the time of the estimate. Is too much weighting given to closing price on April 13, given the large advantage of waiting 'til Apr 12 to input price estimate? Question: I know my revenue price estimates today, but given this volatile market, I'm inclined to delay my entry 'til the 12th. What price variance from today's close would offset bonus points awarded by entering before tomorrow, all other things equal?

To: jjayxxxx who wrote (154624)	3/31/2005 7:24:42 PM
From: Petz	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 275872

Actually, Niceguy brings up a good point. Maybe the best solution is to cut off the contest a week before earnings. Whoops, better get busy! Also, if AMD or Intel "warns," those who entered before the warning should get a 1 point deduction. They deserve it. PS - alternative, those who enter < 1 week before earnings can't do better than 1 sigma error on their stock price estimate. Petz

To: jjayxxxx who wrote (154624)	4/1/2005 5:33:53 PM
From: jjayxxxx	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 275872

05Q1 AMD & Intel EPS Contest Update epscontest.com 12 days until the entry deadline. We're now moving into the Regular Entry Phase. The entries are hereby revealed and the entry stats and team data are provided on both entry pages as well. Team AMD is the only previously active team that does not have the minimum number of entries yet. Interestingly, of the 13 entries, only 5 are eligible for T-shirts. Some contest links: RULES & INFO: epscontest.com FAQ PAGE epscontest.com GUIDANCE: epscontest.com AMD ENTRIES: epscontest.com INTEL ENTRIES: epscontest.com LEADERBOARDS: epscontest.com ENTRY FORM: epscontest.com REVISION FORM: epscontest.com Regards, JJ