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Politics : Attack on Iran Imminent? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Doug R who wrote (7)	4/2/2005 3:09:46 PM
From: Ed Huang	Respond to of 186

I posted the following article about this issue on the other thread in Jan. The head and the heart of the war party were wrestling at that time and they probably still are. But they should decide which way to go before long, because the situation requires the war party to decide soon. Then, the related questions may also be (if they choose the military action): What kind of military attack Israel and the US neocons want against Iran in the near future? How long the attack would last? How well the war party can control the fire they may start? etc. -------------------------------------------------- What Cheney has to say about Iran issue now. nytimes.com ------------------------------------------ From the Cheney interview, we can see Cheney himself now wants to deal with the Iran Issue diplomatically. And he also hinted that if Israel wants to attack Iran, it's up to Israel itself. Clearly, Israel and the US neocon ally always want to stop Iran’s nuclear program even that may mean military actions or their Middle East dream will break. But the key problem is, even Israel and the most hawkish neocons themselves are now hesitating about the military action against Iran, apparently due to: 1. The uncertainty about whether the military strike can effectively eliminate Iran's nuclear program in all secret locations; 2. The Iranian's retaliations against Israel with its new missiles and “terrorist” strikes can be disastrous. 3. The American people and foreign allies including the British may not support the military attack this time 4. Further political and diplomatic consequences after military attack against Iran. 5. The neocons has been burned by the Iraq war(Israel has also suffered diplomatically), it's time to lick the wounds rather than risking more burns. The head and the heart of the war party The military action may draw big backfire, we should negotiate (the war party's head part). Israel and the neocons cannot wait, because the Iranians continue to build the bomb. Negotiation will never work, military strike is the only option to get the job done. (the war party's heart part). So we are seeing that Israel and US neocons’ are jumping up and down on the Iran issue nowadays. To strike or not to strike, the heart is now wrestling against the head. Their head seems somehow on top at this time, according to some recent signs. Let's see what's up next.