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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (29968)4/3/2005 11:18:06 PM
From: Condor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
The decoupling process lasted from about last spring to this January when we saw the first hints of credit spread widening and high risk equities getting clobbered at the same time. Once this process begins, it ususally lasts for about 9-12 months and we see a market shock (1987, 1994, 1998, etc).

So, we're due now. The process began last spring. Correct?

C



To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (29968)4/3/2005 11:50:43 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 110194
 
good stuff



To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (29968)4/4/2005 11:56:22 AM
From: Elroy Jetson  Respond to of 110194
 
I can't wait for the end. This party has long over-stayed it's welcome.

The most interesting aspect of studies, like the one you just completed, is how humans keep making the same mistakes over and over in such a predictable way. It sounds right to me.
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