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To: jim_p who wrote (41368)4/4/2005 4:58:30 PM
From: t4texas  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206117
 
believe what you read in the print press, but caveat emptor. i read that article in the ft, and it reflects the way western institutions think of things. poor guys. china's banks have always been insolvent, and it is due to the state owned enterprise support -- welfare because the soe's are not competitive. when foreign banks come in with wto, deposits from chinese won't flee so fast as you or the print press thinks. also foreign banks aren't going to have as much freedom to do what they want as rapidly in china as you may think. the chinese will be very good at roadblocks for foreign banks doing what they think is there right. china does not have a lot of laws, and that helps business as usual. just monitor things that impact foreign direct investment, and you won't need to read or be swayed by ft.com articles on china's banking system.



To: jim_p who wrote (41368)4/4/2005 11:26:27 PM
From: Think4Yourself  Respond to of 206117
 
This statement really jumped out at me from that FT article link you posted:

"Last October, the China Banking Regulatory Commission conceded that the default rate on $22bn of car loans extended since 2002 already exceeded 50 per cent"

Key word here is "already". Suggests the number is still climbing. No wonder foreign banks don't want Chinese banks touching their cash.