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To: Spekulatius who wrote (21081)4/8/2005 7:54:45 AM
From: Mark Marcellus  Respond to of 78464
 
Thanks for the reply Spekulatius. I think I'm going to be struggling with this one for a while.

the negative working capital is really a good thing since it means that WMT collects it's money faster than it pays it's suppliers.

I understand that, and as I said I'm sort of okay with the Accounts Payable piece of it. I do worry about what would happen if their suppliers (especially their foreign suppliers) become more stringent in their terms, particularly if this were to happen at a time of slowing demand that puts pressure on inventories.

That being said, it's the Accrued Liabilities piece that really has me flummoxed. I don't understand why, based on the way they are described, those hedges are carried as liabilities. If they are real liabilities, I need to understand what they are and how they are structured. If they are not, I need to understand the accounting, because it sounds crazy.

The 12B$ sounds like a huge number but WMT has about 50B$ in revenue abroad which puts that number in perspective.

At the end of the day (c.p.) the $50B turns into about $1.5B on the bottom line, which puts the $50B in perspective.

I agree that if current conditions continue, WMT is a great business and a great buy. However, if one believes (as I do) that we could face severe dislocations as the U.S. Current Account deficit unwinds, it is important to understand the worst case scenarios.