SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SilentZ who wrote (229093)4/13/2005 11:51:18 AM
From: Tenchusatsu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1572711
 
Z, But, you're forgetting about the $2K tax rebate, which of course expires at the end of this year.

I'm not counting that because it just means someone else is paying for it. Besides, as the nation becomes more and more hybridized, that tax break won't make much sense. (And that's even assuming it applies to the Accord hybrid. For example, hybrids are now allowed to be in the California carpool lanes with a single passenger, but only those hybrids getting 40-something MPG or more.)

In my case, I drive 25-30K miles a year; I'd save like $1,000 every year already at current gas prices.

In my example (26 MPG vs. 22 MPG), you'd actually be saving 210 gallons of gas a year. I didn't realize gas in the NE was $5/gallon. ;-)

Of course, it also depends on your driving habits. Hybrids are very well-suited for city driving. With highway driving, the savings diminish. I'm assuming with all of the driving you do, you're on the highway a lot more than not.

Tenchusatsu



To: SilentZ who wrote (229093)4/13/2005 2:14:03 PM
From: tejek  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1572711
 
>The price difference is $2,000, I think, which means at $2/gal, driving 15K miles per year, it will take 10 years before the hybrid pays for itself in terms of gas saved.

But, you're forgetting about the $2K tax rebate, which of course expires at the end of this year.

In my case, I drive 25-30K miles a year; I'd save like $1,000 every year already at current gas prices.


For you, it makes sense........for those who don't drive that much, it doesn't. And you know this Congress won't do squat to remedy the situation.

Its infuriating esp. when you realize you get a bigger tax savings on an SUV.

ted



To: SilentZ who wrote (229093)4/13/2005 3:32:47 PM
From: tejek  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1572711
 
This is how its gone for nearly two years. Oil goes up based on bad news in Iraq or Nigeria. Then the latest weekly inventory report on oil comes out.....followed by the weekly nat. gas report. Both show good inventories and so oil tanks. It continues tanking until there is another pipeline blow up in Iraq or national elections in Venezuela or OPEC announces they are going to reduce production or the Weather Bureau predicts a cold month. Then it starts to go back up.

The analyst in the article say this is typical action in Spring.......when oil/gas start their inventory builds. However, both nat. gas and oil inventories consistently have run above average for the past six months.....even during the winter......and yet crude continues to stay at or near an all time high.

Elroy says price is determine by the equation of demand and supply. I think in most situations that's true. But I don't think its true with oil in 2004-2005. FWIW.

ted

************************************************************

Crude Falls on Inventory Data

By Elinor Arbel
Staff Reporter
4/13/2005 1:57 PM EDT


Oil prices tanked again Wednesday after a government report showed strong gains in crude and gasoline inventories last week.

Light, sweet crude for May delivery, which has fallen more than 7% this month, was down $1.61 to $50.25 a barrel on Nymex. Unleaded gasoline futures fell about 4 cents to $1.49 a gallon.

The Energy Department says crude stocks rose by 3.6 million barrels last week -- their ninth straight weekly gain -- while gasoline stocks rose by 800,000 barrels. Analysts had been expecting a 300,000-barrel gain in crude stocks and flat gasoline inventories.

With the peak summer driving season coming up, the market's focus is on gasoline supplies. Analysts have recently expressed concern about refining capacity not meeting motorists' demand, but recent data showing an increase in U.S. refinery output coupled with growing gasoline inventories appear to be turning the argument in favor of the bears.

"Spring is normally the time when there are higher stock builds. This is a seasonal trend rather than a long-term, structural one," says Peter Zeihan, energy analyst as Stratfor, a private consulting group. Come summer, Zeihan expects inventory to remain tight as demand from both the U.S. and China stays brisk. "Oil prices will remain high because of demand, and gasoline will stay around the $2 per gallon level for a while," he says.

On Tuesday, oil prices fell almost $2 a barrel after the International Energy Agency lowered its forecast for worldwide oil consumption, highlighting a decrease in Chinese demand.

Traders are also keeping an eye on OPEC, which is considering another increase to its official output quota. The cartel is close to approving a 500,000-barrel-a-day increase, having agreed to one of the same size in mid-March.

An International Energy Agency monthly report says that OPEC's production quotas for March were 29.1 million barrels per day. OPEC's maximum pumping capacity is said to be 32 million barrels a day. World oil consumption in the first quarter averaged 84.6 million barrels a day, the IEA says. It is expected to drop to 82.7 million in the second quarter before rising again to 86.1 million barrels a day by year-end.

Go to NEXT PAGE

thestreet.com



To: SilentZ who wrote (229093)4/15/2005 6:18:13 PM
From: TimF  Respond to of 1572711
 
But, you're forgetting about the $2K tax rebate, which of course expires at the end of this year.

It should be counted if you are trying to calculate your individual costs, but not if you are looking at the costs oh hybrids in general. That $2k is in effect paid by someone else. Of course if I am going to buy a car, and someone else will pay $2k of it, its reasonable to make it a factor in my decision, but it is still a cost to someone, so you should not subtract $2k per hybrid when considering the overall costs.

Tim