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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (30571)4/14/2005 1:29:10 PM
From: ild  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
How about a flight out of stocks into treasuries
How about a flight out of junk into treasuries
How about a flight out of mortgage securities into treasuries
How about a flight out of corporates into treasuries


Mish, although I'm in agreement with you about deflation, treasuries and some other stuff, as Hussman many times showed there are no flights from one assets to another. If one person sells one share of IBM then another has to spend same amount of money to buy it. What happens is mostly repricing of different assets.

See, if Mickey sells his money market fund to buy stocks, the securities in that money market fund have to be sold to Nicky, whose cash goes to Mickey, who uses that cash to buy stock from Ricky. In the end, Nicky holds the money market securities that Mickey used to hold, Mickey holds the stock that Ricky used to hold, and Ricky holds the cash that Nicky used to hold. In the end, there is just as much “cash on the sidelines” as there was before. Money never goes into or out of the market, merely through it.

hussmanfunds.com



To: mishedlo who wrote (30571)4/14/2005 1:55:10 PM
From: jackjc  Respond to of 110194
 
<flight out of stocks into treas>

Mish, there is no cash in stocks, selling requires cash
from the buyers, no new cash avail overall for buying of anything. True also of the others sale possibilities.



To: mishedlo who wrote (30571)4/14/2005 2:01:44 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
TNX barely up today despite big stock hit.

Looks like the bond rally is over or almost over.