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To: The Freep who wrote (117789)4/27/2005 11:49:39 PM
From: Henry J Costanzo  Respond to of 209892
 
Brilliant explanation, Freep...............BUT I would not respect any OEX count as having more validity than, or overriding, an SPX count...



To: The Freep who wrote (117789)4/27/2005 11:49:59 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Yeah I get it. Effectively the "extension" scenario.

When it comes right down to it:

Has the bounce since since April 20 been bullish? Without a doubt, No.

Can we extend hard downward? Yes, although IMO its unlikely.

Do I favour new lows? Yes.

Can this be a B up of the same degree as the entire decline? Yes, means we are a while away from new lows though.

Can this be a (v) up in an ED. Yes, new highs before new lows.

There are way too many scenarios for me here but I concede that long is dangerous given the corrective move up so far. Sticking to the individual stock set-ups and being very cautious about money management. I wouldn't touch long unless the set-up and entry is near perfect.