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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (62924)4/28/2005 3:47:34 AM
From: Snowshoe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
So, the KMT pulls the old "Nixon goes to China" trick!

Those Irish bookies must be pleased at the prospect of wagering on the first mainland election contest between the CCP and the KMT. Will the Forbidden City send up smoke signals when a new president is chosen? Or will it be done USA-style, with an idiotic newscaster making a stupid premature call based on faulty exit polling? <g>



To: TobagoJack who wrote (62924)4/28/2005 8:45:29 AM
From: energyplay  Respond to of 74559
 
Hi Jay - Historic good news.

There is a phrase in diplomacy called "Overtaken by Events"

It happend in 1989 when the East Germans started taking the wall down. It happend in Lebanon after the assasination of Harai.

The push for unification will be so strong it may happen this year -

This push will mean both side will need to take the first acceptable deal they can get. I expect it will be similar to the HK model, since that "works" and it is the only set of detailed plans.

Right now, there is a short window off time during which the process can be stopped for years, or a long term schedule can be set. That window will close, maybe in a week after Soongs visit.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (62924)4/28/2005 8:55:07 AM
From: energyplay  Respond to of 74559
 
Just a geopolitical note to give credit to some anonymous planners in Beijing -

Having the anti-Japan protests before the KMT visit was very smart. Japan is likely to have the strongest objections to re-unification. By increasing anti-Japan feelings, it will be much harder for Japan to influence the reconciliation efforts - most politicians on either side will more be reluctant to be influenced by their Japanese contacts or the Japanese point of view.

Hopefully, the appropriate people will be recognized for this very well done strategic move.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (62924)4/28/2005 8:56:17 AM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Time to invest in Champagne and Fireworks ?



To: TobagoJack who wrote (62924)4/28/2005 5:03:37 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
TJ, it's funny how you misunderstand [or at least misrepresent] my ideas.

It's fun to see the KMT preparing to take over both China and Taiwan. They might well succeed.

Whether blood is thicker than water or not is a question for each person to determine in their own minds because blood is water with a few indeterminate knick knacks added to kept the individuals going and able to form synaptic links to the swarms of others.

There is a DNA and migration project underway and you will soon see that the flows of humans are like a flow above Reynolds Number, with eddies, vortices and black holes spread around the human cosmos.

The point that matters is how things proceed from here on out. Who cares what Mao did? Silly old fool. Good riddance. The KMT in fact created more like what the "Chinese" mob around the world wanted. That freedom, democracy, prosperity, strength; not to mention the more important, peace, light, harmony, happiness, health, longevity, fun and love - they only got the prosperity item.

It will take the full diffusion and suffusion of those wonderfully anodyne phragmented photons to complete the picture. All the geopolitical hustle and bustle is just day to day entertainment of little consequence [unless they stupidly blow the place up in their frustration].

Meanwhile, there are important 3D matters to attend to here.

So, going AWOL some more,

Mqurice



To: TobagoJack who wrote (62924)4/28/2005 5:36:33 PM
From: Moominoid  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
It is amazing that the KMT leader is more popular in the PRC than in Taiwan :) Sometimes people like Shimon Peres are much more popular outside their own country than in it... It is also amazing how small a story this is currently in the US media.

Hu Jintao has to look really orthodox before betraying the CCP :P