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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Spekulatius who wrote (21287)5/11/2005 7:38:32 PM
From: blankmind  Respond to of 79163
 
CBH looks like a good bank - good luck



To: Spekulatius who wrote (21287)5/11/2005 8:09:55 PM
From: muwis123  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 79163
 
CBH is a stock I have been following recently also. It is cheap compared to where it used to trade, but it is still at a slight premium to the group and banks are close to an all-time high. I'm not so sure it is going to be as easy for them to grow deposits at 30%+ over the next few years. 1) with interest rates rising, they will be competing with alternative products that offer higher yields. The last two times the Fed tightened. 2) They have to open more banks just to maintain their growth rate. Any slowdown in openings like we have seen in Washington DC with zoning issues will hurt perception that this is a growth story. I also wonder if their model works in other parts of the country. 3) Competitors getting better at defending their market share against the regionals like CBH. They are opening branches longer and on weekends.

I think we'll see a short squeeze with the stock if the yield curve steepens.