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Technology Stocks : Applied Materials No-Politics Thread (AMAT) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Return to Sender who wrote (14886)	5/10/2005 12:08:02 PM
From: Proud_Infidel	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 25522

RTS, At what point do you look at that chart and say that there is an uptrend, albeit a modest one? I see 10.26, 11.25, and then 14.33 as successive lows and yet no word on making higher lows or upward trend. One of the reasons I don't understand TA. Brian

To: Return to Sender who wrote (14886)	5/10/2005 1:08:33 PM
From: Big Bucks	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 25522

RTS- I agree with some of your analysis... I see where we disagree on stock price trend movement... I'm looking at the overall mean trend line over the 5 year timeframe. Are you looking at the intermediate interval monthly mean? IMO, the outlook for the economy is directly related to when the Fed takes a hands off approach to interest rate changes. At that point the economy and markets will rally a bit and then stabilize until the economic data shows improvement. The economy won't really take off until the Fed starts easing interest rates again, which is a stimulating effect for the economy, IMO. As long as the Fed is on inflation watch and raising rates the economy and markets just idle along. As long as other investments, like real estate, offer higher returns with less risk there is no compelling reason for investors to speculate in stocks until they represent excellent valuations and very low entry cost. That is the risk vs. reward ratio and is supported by favorable tax incentives for investing in real estate.