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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dennis Roth who wrote (43895)5/11/2005 10:42:52 AM
From: Tommaso  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206325
 
From the report you linked:

Over the last four weeks, motor gasoline demand has averaged nearly
9.2 million barrels per day, or 0.9 percent above the same period last year,
while distillate fuel demand has averaged over 4.1 million barrels per day, or
1.4 percent above the same period last year. Kerosene-type jet fuel demand is
up 5.0 percent over the last four weeks compared to the same four-week period
last year.


It's hard to see crude prices dropping much with Americans burning more of everything than ever. I guess it could always happen, but I would not want to be short crude myself.



To: Dennis Roth who wrote (43895)5/11/2005 9:36:16 PM
From: Cogito Ergo Sum  Respond to of 206325
 
Ah yes 2002 I remember it well...
Message 18222810
Message 18222880

Wish I has a crystal ball... Energy made me a lot of dough that time...

Surprised we are still holding 50 here frankly... What we've had doesn't really feel like a real pullback in POO

regards
Kastel



To: Dennis Roth who wrote (43895)5/12/2005 9:12:45 AM
From: big guy  Respond to of 206325
 
<U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic
Petroleum Reserve) rose by 2.7 million barrels from the previous week. At 329.7
million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are above the upper end of the
average range for this time of year, and the highest since the end of March
2002.>

Here is a chart of crude originating in March 2002. Doesn't appear inventory levels have been a very good predictor of future price moves.

stockcharts.com[r,a]waclnyay[d20020312,20050512][pi!b50!d20,2][vc60][iUah12,26,9!Lb14!Ll14]&pref=G



To: Dennis Roth who wrote (43895)5/18/2005 10:31:14 AM
From: Dennis Roth  Respond to of 206325
 

U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic
Petroleum Reserve) rose by 4.3 million barrels from the previous week. At 334.0
million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are well above the upper end of the
average range for this time of year, and the highest since May 1999
when
compared to monthly data. Total motor gasoline inventories increased by 1.1
million barrels
last week, putting them just below the upper end of the average
range. Distillate fuel inventories declined by 0.2 million barrels last week,
and are in the lower half of the average range for this time of year. Total
commercial petroleum inventories rose by 8.2 million barrels last week, and are
near the upper end of the average range.

another excerpt:
U.S. crude oil imports averaged nearly 10.9 million barrels per day last week,
up 867,000 barrels per day from the previous week, and the fourth highest weekly
average ever. Over the last four weeks, crude oil imports have averaged 10.5
million barrels per day, which is 319,000 barrels per day more than averaged
over the comparable four weeks last year.




For the full weekly EIA report click on:
eia.doe.gov

The 13th stock build in 14 weeks. PVM Oil Associates in Vienna, Austria,
projected crude stocks to increase by 900,000 barrels, distillates
by 1 million barrels and gasoline by 620,000 barrels.
Only the distillates were less than expected.


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