SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Playing the QQQQ with Terry and friends. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gush who wrote (84)5/14/2005 2:08:12 AM
From: Walkingshadow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4814
 
Cool!

QQQQ gained 1% this week, which was its second consecutive weekly close in the green. Meanwhile the S&P 500 dropped 1.5%, which broke a three-week winning streak, and the DJIA lost 2.0%.

QQQQ:

stockcharts.com[h,a]waclyyay[dd][pd20,2!b10][vc60][iLg!Lp14,3,3]&pref=G

S&P:

stockcharts.com[h,a]waclyyay[dd][pd20,2!b10][vc60][iLg!Lp14,3,3]&pref=G

Dow:

stockcharts.com[h,a]waclyyay[dd][pd20,2!b10][vc60][iLg!Lp14,3,3]&pref=G

Russell 2000:

stockcharts.com[h,a]waclyyay[dd][pd20,2!b10][vc60][iLg!Lp14,3,3]&pref=G

So, as we have seen before, we are seeing evidence of rotation here. The financials did not participate in today's rally, and the blue chips did not also. Mostly this was a tech-led rally.

I think we'll see these other extremely important sectors jump in next week to some degree, and that will add significant fuel to this rally.

But note that QQQQ will shift from periods where it outperforms the S&P to periods where it underperforms, as you can see in the following chart. This is a 2-year weekly chart of the ratio of QQQQ prices to $SPX prices:

stockcharts.com[h,a]waclyyay[de][pd20,2!b10][vc60][iLg!Lp14,3,3]&pref=G

I think you can see from the above chart that QQQQ has entered into a phase where it will lead the markets, and technology and the semiconductors are the spearheads.

The chart of the semiconductors looks bullish now, and the $SOX should rally to $450. So I think the rally in QQQQ will be a strong one in the coming weeks and months.

stockcharts.com[h,a]waclyyay[de][pd20,2!b10][vc60][iLg!Lp14,3,3]&pref=G

Again, we will finish this year at least 20% higher than current levels, and I would not be surprised one bit to see QQQQ perform significantly better than that even, and $50 is not at all inconceivable IMHO, provided the $SOX continues to participate.

T



To: Gush who wrote (84)5/16/2005 10:27:52 AM
From: Walkingshadow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4814
 
Pretty uninspired trading so far, but the SPX and INDU have meandered into positive territory. Nasdaq just followed, QQQQ is printing green now but not by much.

I'd like to see a bit of selling here down to support at $36. I'd be looking to go long down there, I think a lotta other folks will jump in, especially if it is after 2pm.

That scenario would set the stage for a nice afternoon rally.

We'll see.....

T