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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TimF who wrote (232737)5/14/2005 12:56:28 PM
From: 10K a day  Respond to of 1574680
 
Is that just REALLY bad spin???....It sounds like the mirror image of what we are actually doing there....who knows whats going on over there....really...we can all just speculate. I think until the american public starts to question....EVERYTHING that comes out of the mouth of the oval office and the media....i think THEN....we start to make some progress.....Start by asking the right questions...and A LOT of questions....Oh well. Have a nice day.



To: TimF who wrote (232737)5/14/2005 4:12:45 PM
From: tejek  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574680
 
What is curious about the Iraqi tactic is that it appears aimed at creating active opposition. The insurgency is powered by Sunnis; the civilians they have killed have been overwhelmingly Shiites and Kurds. The goal appears to be to split apart the fragile governing coalition and foment sectarian strife.

Yet if the insurgents achieve all-out civil conflict, the likely losers are the Sunnis themselves, since they are a minority. Having governed for decades in Iraq, Sunnis are accustomed to the whip hand and may simply assume they will be able to regain control. Or perhaps they are betting that chaos will lead to partition, allowing Sunnis to govern themselves.


The article is a fairly good one but IMO its over thinking things. The Sunni insurgents are holding their own because the Shia and Kurds are not fighting back very hard. If they did as a unified front, the Sunnis would be hard pressed to maintain their current status quo. However, if they can break the fragile bond between the Shia and the Kurds and provoke a real civil war, they have a good chance of winning. Why? Because the Sunnis appear to be the real warriors/fighters of Iraq, not the Shia or the Kurds......apparently, its what suits them.

ted