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Strategies & Market Trends : Short Selling, Dark Side, Bubble Busting Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: kailuabruddah who wrote (142)5/18/2005 4:55:26 PM
From: NOW  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 361
 
bubbles burst...that is a fact. they reach a certain size and burst.



To: kailuabruddah who wrote (142)5/29/2005 11:57:20 AM
From: Perspective  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 361
 
Real question should not be "is it March 2000 or Oct 1999"; you should be asking "is it *September* 2000?" The right point to nail this chart was not near the March 2000 high, and not even really on the June 2000 secondary high:

finance.yahoo.com

You can't know how high is up, until the chart falls apart technically.

What *IS* thoroughly entertaining to a TA bear is the fact that the 2000 bear kicked off with an 8-week selloff, followed by an 8-week sharp upward correction very near the old highs. Notice any similarities here:

finance.yahoo.com

This latest selloff actually doesn't look all that impressive from that perspective, and we're *clearly* not in Fall 2000 tech territory yet. However, this *is* the first selloff in the homebuilders that was accompanied by a near-doubling in average volume during the selloff; that was also seen at the top in JDSU and PMCS.

BC