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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Les H who wrote (31633)5/20/2005 12:31:18 PM
From: John VosillaRespond to of 306849
 
Group Predicts Boston Price Decline
The Boston.com site is running an article predicting lower home prices. "The gap between income and Massachusetts home prices is the widest since the peak of the 1980s housing bubble, and that gap, intensified by rising interest rates, should cause home prices to dip later this year..declining about 3 percent."

"'It's not going anything like the '80s, but there's going to be a correction,' said Alan Clayton-Matthews, of the University of Massachusetts. 'There has to.'"

Notice the group bases their forecast on the disparity between homes and income, but doesn't see a correction large enough to bring the two measures back into line. One look at the chart that accompanies the piece shows that 3% won't make a dent in affordability.

"Massachusetts' high home prices, nearly double the national median, are a growing concern for economists and policy makers, who worry they are driving young workers and families from the state."

Economist Mark Zandi said, "The housing market is through the roof, way outside anything we've seen historically. The longer it goes on, the more significant a correction we'll see."

thehousingbubble.blogspot.com



To: Les H who wrote (31633)5/20/2005 12:52:34 PM
From: bentwayRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
"Real estate agent glut"

They'll be the "tech workers" in the next great wave of unemployment. My east Indian DOCTOR was fantisizing about becoming a RE agent on a recent visit! At least he'll have a fallback career.



To: Les H who wrote (31633)5/20/2005 3:39:02 PM
From: Proud_InfidelRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Wow!

The last time so many people wanted to sell real estate in California was in 1990. In what might be an ominous sign for the current boom, that year marked a peak in the housing market.

There are 437,000 agents in California, enough to form the state's eighth-largest city



To: Les H who wrote (31633)5/21/2005 11:31:12 AM
From: Haim R. BranisteanuRespond to of 306849
 
... and the guy earns nothing but is listed as employed for gov. statistics