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To: Henry Niman who wrote (115151)5/21/2005 10:39:09 AM
From: unclewest  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793927
 
H5N1 in China and India. Vietnam just a warning shot for 2005 pandemic

You were and are the early bird on this one.

I read H5N1 is now in 8 countries. That did not include China.



To: Henry Niman who wrote (115151)5/21/2005 7:53:41 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 793927
 
Henry, that's a great transport mechanism that H5N1 has. Skip the check in lines at the airports, customs officers, security and passport queues, and fly direct. Land and start spreading.

But now I see that the mortality rate has dropped a lot. Down to about a third. Which is still not a lot of fun for the victims, but better than 70%. At least some of us will be alive to buy CDMA gadgets and keep my, or my estate's, profits going a bit.

<Avian influenza – cumulative number of cases – update 18

19 May 2005

WHO is updating its table showing cumulative numbers of human cases of H5N1 avian influenza broken down according to phases in the outbreak, which began in December 2003. [Cumulative Number of Confirmed Human Cases of Avian Influenza A/(H5N1) Reported to WHO]. Numbers for Viet Nam, where the vast majority of recent cases have occurred, have been amended in line with case counts provided by the Ministry of Health during late April and May. Since the third wave of infection began in Viet Nam in mid-December 2004, 49 cases have been reported. Of these cases, 17 were fatal. The most recent case was reported to the ministry on 17 April.

WHO has asked the Ministry of Health in Viet Nam to supplement the numbers with data on individual cases. Rapid field investigation of new cases, especially when these occur in clusters, remains essential to assess possible changes in transmission patterns that could indicate improved pandemic potential of the virus.

Since January 2004, when human cases of H5N1 avian influenza were first reported in the current outbreak, 97 cases and 53 deaths have been reported in Viet Nam, Thailand and Cambodia. Viet Nam, with 76 cases and 37 deaths, has been the most severely affected country, followed by Thailand, with 17 cases and 12 deaths, and Cambodia, with 4 cases and 4 deaths.
>

A handy table to track virulence and mortality. who.int

Mqurice