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Technology Stocks : Applied Materials No-Politics Thread (AMAT) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (15100)5/24/2005 1:37:49 PM
From: Proud_Infidel  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25522
 
OK, so it looks like

2000 (the year of the Bubble)= 205B

2004= 213B

2005 est= 228B

2006 est= 241B

2007 est= 264B



To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (15100)5/24/2005 5:03:16 PM
From: etchmeister  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 25522
 
SAN JOSE, Calif. — A surge in average selling prices (ASPs) for ICs has prompted an investment banking firm to raise its overall semiconductor growth forecast from minus 0.5 percent to positive 7.1 percent in 2005.

Paul Leming, an analyst with Princeton Tech Research (Princeton Junction, N.J.), in a report also lowered his IC forecast for 2006, from positive 9.8 percent growth to plus 6 percent. In 2007, the total IC market is expected to grow 9.3 percent, Leming said. The figures include ICs, memories, discretes, optoelectronics and sensors.

Looks like the 7% higher baseline might be partially the reason for revising 2006 downward.
Also a "surge" in ASP's doesn't fit the capacity glut scenario;