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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Gib Bogle who wrote (64225)	5/25/2005 4:22:17 AM
From: Maurice Winn	Respond to of 74559

Okay, maybe Rodney won't be prime minister, but "elected" means getting into parliament. I'm sure Epsom voters can figure out that they had better put Rodney into Epsom as MP and Richard Worth in on the list and perhaps give their party vote to National if they don't want Act to get more seats. But judging from Act's performance in parliament compared with National [Donna Awatere's Pipi Foundation activities notwithstanding], more rather than fewer Act MPs is a good idea. So I wouldn't be surprised to see Act's support rise when voters are confronted with reality on election day and they reflect on what their vote will cause. Suppose they don't give Rodney the Epsom seat, and Act doesn't get 5% of the party vote, then the 1% or 3% or even 4.99% vote that Act gets will go down the gurgler and be reassigned among the other parties proportionately to their vote. That extra couple of seats might just be enough to give Labour a clear majority. So, by shutting Act out, the Epsom voters might find they have inadvertently handed victory to Helen and co. By letting Rodney in [and perhaps another 3], they improve the prospects for their own political interests. A week is a long time in politics, so we might yet see some interesting activities one way or another over the next few months. Mqurice