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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: mishedlo who wrote (30762)	5/25/2005 2:29:51 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Respond to of 116555

Yep, copy of Y2K I think they will stop at the next 25bp. BTW is GOOG the new "FROT" indicator?

To: mishedlo who wrote (30762)	5/25/2005 2:49:46 PM
From: CalculatedRisk	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 116555

Dr. Altig (Cleveland FED) at Macroblog presents an analysis every Monday of the likely Fed Funds rate. Its about 90% for 25bps at the next meeting. But if you look out to October the odds are all over the place (most likely listed first): 1) 35% probability of 25bps more after July hike (to 3.5% in Oct) 2) 30% probability of 50bps more after July hike (to 3.75%) 3) 25% probability of no hikes after July (3.25%) 4) 10% probability of 75bps more after July (to 4%) macroblog.typepad.com