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To: Henry Niman who wrote (64247)	5/25/2005 6:07:07 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Chinese will die in droves if H5N1 gets a grip. Their lungs are a mess already, due to smoking and air pollution, and it's very crowded. Hocking, bocking and hoiking are endemic. I joined in too, within a week in Beijing. Sitting in a cybercafe, the air is disgustingly thick with smoke; unfortunately I didn't have my gas mask and had to make do with a handkerchief over my face which wasn't very effective. I couldn't take long in there. I suppose sars really got going in China due to susceptible people, who might also have had a DNA susceptibility. Sars didn't do very well elsewhere, though quite a few in Canada [older people especially] died from it. Sars made attempts to get going elsewhere, but only in Canada did it make any headway at all [outside Asia]. Mqurice

To: Henry Niman who wrote (64247)	5/26/2005 8:55:55 PM
From: BubbaFred	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74559

WHO to warn on changing avian flu By Pallab Ghosh BBC News science correspondent The WHO is to announce new research showing that the pattern of avian flu in northern Vietnam is consistent with human-to-human infection. Its study urges governments to bolster public health measures. The new methods will be needed to protect against a new influenza pandemic, the WHO paper says. It is thought that at least 92 people have caught the avian influenza virus from handling poultry since late 2003. But in a handful of cases, there is the suspicion that the virus has mutated and spread from person to person. Infection clusters Scientists fear this new infection could form the basis of a new world-wide flu pandemic. In the first detailed assessment of this possibility, a WHO team says that the infection pattern in northern Vietnam may indicate that the infection is passing from one person to another. Killer viruses 1918 Spanish flu killed 50m 1957 Asian flu killed about 1m 1968 Hong Kong flu killed 1m 2003 Sars killed 774 2004-5 Avian flu (H5N1) has killed 50 to date When the infection spreads from poultry, it usually infects a small number of shoppers or meat handlers and is quickly eradicated. Instead, in northern Vietnam, researchers say they have discovered a higher number of infection clusters, the period of infection is longer and the age range of those infected is much wider. The scientists have also found that the virus in northern Vietnam is genetically more different to a bird virus than other strains. However, the WHO stresses that the pattern of infection could also be explained by a more infectious form of bird to human infection. Story from BBC NEWS: news.bbc.co.uk