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Strategies & Market Trends : Playing the QQQQ with Terry and friends. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MJ who wrote (526)6/1/2005 8:50:11 PM
From: Walkingshadow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4814
 
You mean for AAPL?

Dunno yet... we'll just have to watch and wait.

First long-term support is at the middle of the regression channel, which is at about $37.50. If that fails, then the line in the sand will be the lower rail at about $25:

139.142.147.218

More immediate support levels include the now declining 50 sma, currently at $38.68, and the 200 sma, currently at $31.96.

The lower BB rail sits currently at $33.48 and also represents support.

I think a pullback all the way to the 200 sma is a very real possibility. So that would mean about a 20% pullback from current levels to the 200 sma, which will rise to $32.00 or higher in the meantime.

Support at the 200 is very important; if that fails, then the final support level at the lower regression channel will very likely be tested.

I just don't see much other than storm clouds ahead in the medium term here. It is too soon to tell with any accuracy when things will change, but I think the 200 sma is a probable reversal point. I think that support will hold. I see no evidence that AAPL will begin a new downtrend, but if we see evidence of professional selling (i.e., a big volume gap down), then that conclusion will have to be re-evaluated.

T



To: MJ who wrote (526)6/2/2005 12:48:06 PM
From: Gush  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4814
 
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