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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: orkrious who wrote (33934)6/5/2005 2:46:38 PM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
<then that trade has to be unwound, and in fairly short order we should see a fairly dramatic rise in interest rates and fall in the dollar, correct?>

The anti-USD part has already been unwound, in fact the specs are now short non-US currencies, lick, lick, chop, chop:

March 8: Specs longs: //> May 31
Pound 59,295 // > short 11,826
Aussie: 74,944 // > long 8,306
Canada: 16,045 // > short 28,303
Euro: 35,433 // > short 13,424
Yen: 3,938 // > short 50,160
US Dollar index: 9654 // > short 17,528

The rate complex is in large measure getting unwound but has taken awhile. Large specs or funds have covered and gone long, but the small specs are hanging in there:

March 8 specs shorts // > May 31
Eurodollars: -1,148,084 // > -459,174
5 year: - 317,329 // > -143,379
10 year: -471,085 // > -95,362
30 year: -60,901 // > -46,412