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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: William H Huebl who wrote (71098)6/8/2005 10:06:17 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Good size drops are not allowed, only good size rises -ng-
Nevertheless, volativity is huge on 1,5,10,15,30,60-min charts.



To: William H Huebl who wrote (71098)6/8/2005 10:22:01 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
I'll short the DOW break of 10400. Otherwise, up is a very good
possibility here. The market has been in no man zone in the
past 2 years or so. Nobody except derivative sellers made
money. It's best to stand aside until further notice, or trade
spreads.



To: William H Huebl who wrote (71098)6/9/2005 11:48:34 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bonds take the shape of 11am buying, which is normally when
someone learns there will be another Fed Coupon pass. The new
liquidity buys all markets. The news releases of Fed actions on
securities lending and coupon passes are delayed lately,
so there is no way to learn what the players are up to, in real
time. Otherwise, securities lending > 4 bln, or a coupon pass
of $1 billion are good for lifting the DOW 100 points a day.



To: William H Huebl who wrote (71098)6/9/2005 2:36:20 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Nope, I was wrong, at least regarding securities lending.
Small amount today, a repo drain, and looks like no coupon pass
(not yet posted on the Fed site). That says down into the close,
if it is right (i.e., there was no coupon pass)