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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (119114)	6/9/2005 2:42:50 PM
From: carranza2	Respond to of 793843

I don't see it. Any attack would kill many people, unify the country behind their government, possibly ignite a war, and probably do no more than set back the nuclear works. I think Israel, which more importantly than the bunker busters, has advertised its nuclear second strike capacity on subs, will enter a MAD situation with Iran. You're probably right. And your reasoning was at one time my reasoning, too. However, I have no doubt that the Israelis are concerned that the Iranians may miscalculate by transferring nukes to Hizbollah or some other group, thereby giving the Iranians the ability to disclaim responsibility for an attack. I don't know if it is technically feasible to determine the provenance of nuclear material. If not, this kind of threat is difficult to deter.