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To: Les H who wrote (12278)6/23/2005 9:48:05 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29599
 

Banks (112 stocks)
BKX Amex Banking Index and RKH Regional Bank Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market BKX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Jun 23 99 45 66 83 54 54 0.55 DOWN
_Jun 22 100 88 90 94 58 65 0.65
_Jun 21 100 83 85 92 56 47 0.57
_Jun 20 100 89 83 92 54 51 0.52
_Jun 17 100 89 85 94 59 64 0.45
_Jun 16 99 89 79 90 56 61 0.33
_Jun 15 99 84 73 87 49 42 0.26 UP
_Jun 14 98 65 64 81 46 18 0.21
_Jun 13 98 57 56 76 45 18 0.26
_Jun 10 98 43 48 70 38 -17 0.34
_Jun 9 98 50 59 79 42 -21 0.41
_Jun 8 98 35 47 75 37 24 0.47
_Jun 7 98 43 58 74 39 36 0.53
_Jun 6 99 52 64 78 42 50 0.63
_Jun 3 99 34 61 78 41 48 0.70 DOWN
_Jun 2 99 62 79 89 42 45 0.80
_Jun 1 99 67 85 88 44 40 0.80 UP

Oil & Gas Drillers, Field Services, and Equipment (53 stocks)
OSX Amex Oil Services Index and OIH Oil Services Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market OSX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Jun 23 148 60 94 91 89 86 4.69 UP
_Jun 22 146 62 94 91 91 91 4.62
_Jun 21 145 66 92 89 89 98 4.64 DOWN
_Jun 20 148 94 100 94 89 100 4.80
_Jun 17 149 100 100 96 89 100 4.59
_Jun 16 148 100 100 96 89 100 4.15
_Jun 15 146 94 98 91 87 99 3.67
_Jun 14 144 91 98 91 85 99 3.25
_Jun 13 143 89 98 92 85 90 2.91
_Jun 10 142 94 98 89 85 72 2.50
_Jun 9 142 92 98 85 83 59 2.03
_Jun 8 137 79 92 77 79 66 1.45
_Jun 7 137 87 94 66 81 83 1.27
_Jun 6 138 96 96 74 81 94 1.11
_Jun 3 137 98 96 72 83 96 0.74
_Jun 2 136 98 92 64 77 96 0.34
_Jun 1 136 96 87 60 79 97 -0.03

Retailers (223 stocks)
RLX Amex Retailing Index and RTH Retailers Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market RLX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Jun 23 442 35 57 78 70 84 2.54
_Jun 22 451 58 70 82 72 89 2.87
_Jun 21 449 54 70 81 72 93 2.93 DOWN
_Jun 20 452 61 71 80 71 95 3.02
_Jun 17 453 70 77 80 75 100 3.02
_Jun 16 453 80 82 83 75 100 2.93
_Jun 15 452 79 81 81 75 92 2.80
_Jun 14 450 77 83 80 75 95 2.63 UP
_Jun 13 442 68 79 76 72 94 2.46
_Jun 10 441 69 78 76 72 94 2.53
_Jun 9 442 69 76 74 72 98 2.61
_Jun 8 440 57 78 72 70 98 2.64 DOWN
_Jun 7 443 74 82 75 72 98 2.74
_Jun 6 444 73 82 72 70 99 2.70
_Jun 3 440 63 82 69 68 99 2.60
_Jun 2 446 80 84 72 71 99 2.60
_Jun 1 441 72 83 71 70 97 2.34

Drugs (79 stocks)
DRG Philadelphia Pharma Index and PPH Pharmaceutical Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market DRG 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Jun 23 326 51 56 61 48 68 -0.10 DOWN
_Jun 22 329 66 66 65 51 87 -0.01
_Jun 21 329 70 67 62 54 90 -0.03
_Jun 20 329 70 67 69 53 91 -0.11
_Jun 17 329 75 68 69 54 84 -0.17 UP
_Jun 16 326 74 67 63 54 85 -0.23
_Jun 15 326 60 58 59 54 53 -0.18
_Jun 14 327 62 64 64 53 -62 -0.13
_Jun 13 326 54 57 62 53 -94 -0.12
_Jun 10 325 47 58 64 51 -76 -0.04
_Jun 9 327 52 57 61 47 -46 0.12
_Jun 8 326 43 53 60 49 -44 0.24
_Jun 7 329 52 56 64 51 -62 0.42
_Jun 6 328 48 54 62 49 -92 0.52
_Jun 3 327 41 51 63 48 -73 0.66
_Jun 2 331 56 62 65 48 -57 0.87
_Jun 1 331 63 63 64 51 -51 0.97

link to May data
Message 21375289



To: Les H who wrote (12278)6/24/2005 10:54:07 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29599
 

9-month cycle

Schedule: 11-, 22-, and 44-week cycles lows starting from Sep 21, 2001

_ cycle tendencies
_ 11-week 22-week 44-week SPX change high low range
Oct 10, 02 start start start 769 none
Nov 5 green green green 915 +146 924 +155 N.A. N.A.
Dec 2 yellow green green 934 + 19 954 + 39 872 - 43 81
Dec 26 red yellow yellow 890 - 44 934 + 0 880 - 54 54
Jan 21, 03 green yellow yellow 887 - 3 935 + 45 869 - 21 66
Feb 18 yellow red red 851 - 36 890 + 3 806 - 81 84
Mar 12 red red red 804 - 47 852 + 1 789 - 62 63
Apr 7 green green green 880 + 76 905 +101 804 - 0 101
May 2 yellow green green 930 + 50 930 + 50 863 - 17 67
May 28 red yellow yellow 953 + 23 959 + 29 912 - 18 47
Jun 23 green yellow yellow 982 + 29 1015 + 62 946 - 7 69
Jul 18 yellow red red 993 + 11 1015 + 33 962 - 20 53
Aug 6 red red red 967 - 26 1001 + 8 961 - 32 40
Sep 2 green green green 1022 + 55 1022 + 55 964 - 3 58
Sep 29 yellow green green 1006 - 16 1040 + 18 995 - 27 45
Oct 22 red yellow green 1030 + 24 1054 + 48 990 - 16 64
Nov 17 green yellow yellow 1043 + 13 1064 + 34 1018 - 12 46
Dec 15 yellow red yellow 1068 + 25 1083 + 40 1031 - 12 52
Jan 7, 04 red red yellow 1126 + 58 1126 + 58 1068 - 0 58
Feb 2 green green red 1135 + 9 1155 + 29 1115 - 11 40
Feb 27 yellow green red 1145 + 10 1159 + 24 1124 - 11 35
Mar 24 red yellow red 1091 - 54 1163 + 18 1087 - 58 76
Apr 14 green yellow green 1128 + 37 1150 + 59 1091 - 0 59
May 5 yellow red green 1121 - 7 1147 + 19 1107 - 21 40
May 25 red red green 1113 - 8 1121 + 0 1076 - 45 45
Jun 18 green green yellow 1135 + 22 1142 + 29 1110 - 3 32
Jul 15 yellow green yellow 1107 - 28 1146 + 11 1106 - 29 40
Aug 13 red yellow yellow 1065 - 4 1116 + 9 1061 - 40 49
Sep 7 green yellow red 1121 + 56 1124 + 59 1065 - 0 59
Sep 29 yellow red red 1115 - 6 1140 + 22 1101 - 17 39
Oct 22 red red red 1096 - 38 1142 + 8 1094 - 40 48
Nov 18 green green green 1183 + 87 1188 + 92 1090 - 6 98
Dec 14 yellow green green 1203 + 20 1205 + 22 1168 - 15 37
Jan 7, 05 red yellow green 1186 - 17 1218 + 15 1182 - 21 36
Feb 3 green yellow yellow 1190 + 4 1196 + 10 1164 - 22 32
Mar 1 yellow red yellow 1210 + 20 1212 + 22 1184 - 6 28
Mar 25 red red yellow 1171 - 39 1229 + 19 1169 - 41 60
Apr 20 green green red 1137 - 34 1192 + 21 1136 - 35 56
May 17 yellow green red 1174 + 37 1179 + 42 1137 - 0 42
Jun 10 red yellow red 1198 + 24 1209 + 35 1174 - 0 35
Jul 5 green yellow green 1191 - 7 1219 + 21 1191 - 7 28
Jul 28 yellow red green
Aug 19 red red green
Sep 13 green green yellow
Oct 6 yellow green yellow
Oct 28 red yellow yellow

22-week cycle

Sep 17-21, 01 base low 944 next high 1173 on Dec 06 (week 11)
Dec 03-07, 01 11 weeks high 1173 next high 1177 on Jan 07 (week 4)
Feb 18-22, 02 22 weeks trough low 1074 next high 1173 on Mar 11 (week 3)
May 06-10, 02 11 weeks low 1049 next high 1106 on May 17 (week 1)
Jul 22-26, 02 22 weeks trough low 775 next high 965 on Aug 22 (week 4)
Oct 07-11, 02 55 weeks trough low 768 next high 954 on Dec 02 (week 7)
Dec 23-27, 02 11 weeks low 873 next high 935 on Jan 13 (week 2)
Mar 10-14, 03 22 weeks trough low 789 next high 965 on May 30 (week 11)
May 19-23, 03 10 weeks high 944 next high 1015 on Jul 14 (week 7)
Aug 4- 8, 03 21 weeks trough flat 960 next high 1048 on Oct 21 (week 11)
Oct 20-24, 03 11 weeks high 1048 next high 1132 on Jan 9 (week 11)
Jan 5- 9, 04 22 weeks high 1132 next high 1163 on Mar 5 (week 8)
Mar 22-26, 04 54 weeks trough low 1087 next high 1150 on Apr 5 (week 2)
May 24-28, 04 9 weeks flat 1090 next high 1146 on Jun 25 (week 4)
Aug 9-13, 04 20 weeks trough low 1061 next high 1142 on Oct 7 (week 8)
Oct 18-22, 04 10 weeks flat 1090 next high 1218 on Jan 3 (week 11)
Jan 3- 7, 05 21 weeks high 1186 next high 1229 on Mar 7 (week 8)
Mar 21-25, 05 52 weeks trough low 1169 next high 1209 on Jun 7 (week 11)
Jun 3-10, 05 11 weeks high 1209 next high 1219 on Jun 22 (week 2)
Aug 15-19, 05 21 weeks
Oct 24-28, 05 52 weeks trough

26-week Dow cycle troughs
Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379
Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks
Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks
Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks
Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks
Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks
Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks
Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks
Oct 10, 02 Dow 7197 length 35 weeks
Mar 12, 03 Dow 7416 length 22 weeks
Aug 6, 03 Dow 8997 length 22 weeks
Mar 24, 04 Dow 10007 length 32 weeks
Aug 13, 04 Dow 9784 length 20 weeks
Apr 20, 05 Dow 10010 length 36 weeks
sample size 13 Spring sample 7 Fall sample 6
total 341 weeks total 152 weeks total 189 weeks
average 26 weeks average 22 weeks average 32 weeks
st dev 2 weeks st dev 1 weeks st dev 3 weeks

next approximate Dow trough
Sep 7, 05 20 weeks minimum length in samples
Sep 21, 05 22 weeks average length in Spring samples
Oct 19, 05 26 weeks average length in samples

source of dates

timeanddate.com