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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: bentway who wrote (34306)	6/24/2005 1:08:02 AM
From: CalculatedRisk	Respond to of 306849

I'm trying to relate my stock experience to RE. Maybe I'm wrong ... Lets see how it plays out over the next year. I expect prices to peak soon and then deflate slowly. I also expect transaction volumes to drop significantly, but some houses will still sell (transactions won't go to zero). Best Wishes!

To: bentway who wrote (34306)	6/24/2005 2:07:14 AM
From: FrozenZ	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 306849

Yes, it's always been my inclination to jump on bottoms too when the market is soft. Sometimes you will get in too early and it will take you to the floor if it has legs, but if you stick in there it will rise and work out. It is hard to get out when you are on top but if the market gets on top of you it becomes even harder. The market may look beautiful but if it's not moving it won't be easy to play. Eventually you always end up in a mania and a wild blow off ending and it's only the people who timed it right that will enjoy the greatest comfort.