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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: zonder who wrote (32743)6/27/2005 11:49:29 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
Cashed out the last 2/3 of my June 06 Short Sterling 95.75 calls for 24
What a silly ride....
Paid 11.5 rode them to 18 down to 4.5 back up to 24
Why didn't I cash out at 17 and buy them all back at 6?

Still holding a bunch of sept 06 95.25 calls
I decided to write 96.25 calls for 9 against those.
Paid 32 so my cost basis for a 100 bps spread is 23

Bring on the cuts.
I need about two cuts just to break even over cashing them out.
Looking to do a bit better on the ones I am holding

Mish



To: zonder who wrote (32743)6/27/2005 12:02:43 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
UK mortgage approvals down 3 pct in May vs April, 17 pct yr-on-yr - BBA UPDATE
Monday, June 27, 2005 9:19:53 AM
afxpress.com

(Updating to add figures for personal loans and overdrafts lending)
LONDON (AFX) - UK mortgage approvals fell 3 pct in May from April and were down 17 pct on a year earlier, according to figures released by the British Bankers Association

There were 186,442 mortgage approvals in May, with a total value of 16.5 bln stg. The average approval for house purchase was 125,400 stg, the BBA said

Mortgage lending figures showed a very modest increase, however, suggesting that the UK housing market appears to be have stabilised

"Levels of loan approvals fluctuate with seasonal patterns, but the volumes we are seeing suggest that a fairly stable lending picture will continue in the near term," said David Dooks, BBA director of statistics

Seasonally-adjusted net mortgage lending -- gross lending minus repayments -- rose 4.3 bln stg in May compared with 4.0 bln stg the previous month

Despite the increase however, the latest figure remains below the average rise of 4.5 bln stg over the past six months, the BBA said

Gross mortgage lending totalled 14.3 bln stg in May, up 2 pct from April but 8 pct lower than May 2004

"Whilst mortgage lending was slightly stronger in May, it is noticeable that all measures were below comparable data a year earlier, when May was a relatively weak month," Dooks said

Meanwhile, within consumer credit, credit card lending rose 117 mln stg, slightly up on the average of the previous six months but remaining weak, reflecting the subdued retail sales environment, Dooks said

New lending on personal loans and overdrafts was well up on both April and the average for the previous six months, however, the BBA said

Net new lending on personal loans and overdrafts rose by 723 mln stg on a seasonally adjusted basis in May, considerably higher than both April's rise of 426 mln stg and the average rise of 597 mln stg over the previous six months



To: zonder who wrote (32743)6/27/2005 12:07:18 PM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 116555
 
Oil soars to nearly 61 usd/barrel on heightened supply concerns, Iran election
Monday, June 27, 2005 9:36:23 AM
afxpress.com

LONDON (AFX) - World oil prices surged to fresh record levels, approaching 61 usd a barrel in New York on heightened supply worries, and amid an election victory for the ultra-conservatives in OPEC heavyweight Iran

New York's main contract, light sweet crude for delivery in August, shot up 76 cents to 60.60 usd a barrel in electronic deals today

It had reached a historic high of 60.64 usd earlier today -- the highest level since it was first traded in 1983 -- after reaching 60.47 usd overnight

In London, the price of Brent North Sea crude oil for delivery in August jumped 74 cents to 59.10 usd per barrel after earlier hitting 59.21 usd -- a new historic high

Persistent supply concerns could push prices up even further, analysts said

"People are getting more and more concerned about the second half. OPEC is going to be very streched in the fourth quarter to meet demand," said Investec analyst Bruce Evers

"I think we could see 65 dollars, 70 dollars quite quickly." Prices are reaching fresh records amid continued fears that refineries will struggle to turn enough crude oil into heating fuel to meet fourth-quarter demand amid the onset of the northern hemisphere winter

Meanwhile, traders were keeping an eye on developments in Iran, the second biggest member of OPEC, after news yesterday that the ultra-conservative Tehran mayor, Mahmood Ahmadinejad was elected president