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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: jackjc who wrote (34922)	6/28/2005 8:24:13 AM
From: Wyätt Gwyön	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 110194

Value of paper money is down over 94% during my lifetime of course, you need to include the return on paper money, if you did not stick it under the mattress (you just have to take it to the bank). did you include the year CDs returned 18% in the 1980s? did you include the return on paper money for every single year? if you didn't, you didn't make a fair comparison. obviously, cash is always at par. the performance of cash over time is par PLUS the return on cash, which is considerble over long periods of time. cash return last century was 5800%. not as good as the stock market but considerably better than RE. and of course cash had long periods of outperforming other asset classes, especially when their valuations got stretched, like now.

To: jackjc who wrote (34922)	6/28/2005 11:09:12 AM
From: John Vosilla	Respond to of 110194

The savers will lose about as much as the debtors if this goes as I expect. Debtors will get some type of gov bailout, savers will get the shaft if they insist on holding cash. Me thinks inexpensive growing flyover country markets especially tied to oil are the best places for investment this next cycle. Use low interest rates and high leverage and the returns will be incredible assuming we do not take the depression route but the most likely route of a continued debasement of the currency.