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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Magrathea who wrote (162823)6/28/2005 7:18:19 PM
From: PetzRead Replies (3) | Respond to of 275872
 
As long as we are revealing secrets, here's my EPS contest entries voluntarily--
AMD
Rev 1280M (70M above average lemming analyst, 20M above highest!)
CPU 790M (just below Doug "threshold of insanity", +40M vs. Q1)
Flash 450M (3M above Q1)
(Other) 40M (10M above Q1, hope springs eternal)
EPS $0.015 (about right for $53M higher revs on Q1's -0.04)
Stock $20 (hope, now 17.70)

Intel - totals pretty much in line with analysts but EPS $0.01 higher, just because they always purposely underestimate as Intel requests <g>.
Rev 9200M
CPU 6640M (-255M vs. Q1, slightly less drop than usual)
Flash 600M (+22M)
EPS $0.33
Stock $28 (now 26.33)

Petz



To: Magrathea who wrote (162823)7/6/2005 5:43:36 PM
From: MagratheaRespond to of 275872
 
For the record, I sold 2x of 6x(a third) at 18.33 after the downdraft in the market this afternoon. This was half of the 4x I bought on 6/28 at 17.02. ..Ca-Ch... ...never mind.

I probably left money on the table, but if December's $24+ taught me anything it is to take a profit and not get greedy.

I still hold 4x which is about 2x more than I want over earnings. The trouble is I'm going to a Boy Scout Camp next week and will be incommunicado over the fateful day. If we get 18.80, I may take it for the other 2x.

I cannot imagine AMD being higher than 18 the day after earnings. If we are sub 17, I would not be surprised.

I also cannot imaging AMD being lower than 18 two months from now unless the whole market tanks.

-Magrathea