Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Pastimes : Let's Talk About Our Feelings!!! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Alan Smithee who wrote (106733)	7/9/2005 11:12:41 PM
From: ManyMoose	Respond to of 108807

LOL! Your comment about the Poisson of Christ recalled to mind the Poisson Distribution, which is a particular kind of statistical curve with a lot of hits (highly likely) at the low end, followed by very few hits as you go up the X axis to an infinitely high X. A more apt explanation might be "The Flash in the Pan Distribution." anesi.com The probability of a given point on earth being hit by a meteorite is possible but unlikely, therefore zero hits is highly likely. One hit is likely given enough time. Two hits again possible, fitting nicely on the low end of the Poisson Distribution. More than three, unlikely but possible. Hundreds of times? Possible, but unlikely in extremis. For our purposes here, in the universe of ideas there is an infinite number of possible worthy ideas, but the probability that we will see more than two or three of any value emanating from some sources drops nearly to zero. Some people just can't break out of the Poisson Distribution, it appears. The Poisson Distribution tells us we can always hope. Oh never mind. The Poisson Distribution is known but to a few statisticians and foresters. I used it to predict how many seedlings I would find in a given sample. If I played my cards right it was highly probable I would have one or two seedlings in a sample, and possible but not probable that I would have hundreds. Very obscure, eh?