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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (35680)7/10/2005 3:26:57 PM
From: John Vosilla  Respond to of 110194
 
Not really, nor can most people explain the US markets holding firm with 9 consecutive hikes and a flat yield curve to boot.

I think it is the very low cost of capital that makes certain investments appear more attractive than they really are creating the misallocation of capital we have today.



To: mishedlo who wrote (35680)7/10/2005 3:55:52 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
Just thinking out loud, but i wonder if the huge surge in the number of hedge funds has made market players more proactive?

Are they being forced to try to discount events further and further ahead.?

I cannot recall either the stock or bond market ever trying to discount the end of a Fed tightening cycle so far in advance



To: mishedlo who wrote (35680)7/10/2005 8:12:22 PM
From: Mike Johnston  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
The US stock market has been disconnected from reality for quite a while now. SP 500 trades not on fundamentals but on liquidity. It takes extremely bad news to push the market down temporarily, but it usually trades up on no news.