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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ild who wrote (35686)7/10/2005 4:53:06 PM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 110194
 
I think the rates to follow are the one year Libor and one year CMT.
libor-loans.com
federalreserve.gov

Can be tracked monthly here, enter Libor under new search:
mortgage-x.com

A big chunk of these subprime, and various ARMs, including IOs are set to them. They are toxic, and as they steadily reset, debtors are being hammered. Even 4% Libor should have an impact.



To: ild who wrote (35686)7/10/2005 8:10:46 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Just that TNX is the base of the bond market structure.

Obviously spreads also very important.

But recent experience has shown I think that low TNX encourages narrow spreads as investors grow desperate for yield.



To: ild who wrote (35686)7/10/2005 11:11:34 PM
From: John Vosilla  Respond to of 110194
 
As the banks have no problems selling their private label MBS the RE financing machine is well oiled. IMO it will take much higher Fed rates to have a meaningful impact on RE.

Is it getting pretty obvious that liquidity for RE is no longer tied to the slope of the yield curve? Tight money supply growth, flat yield curve and yet it is easier to get a loan today than ever. A monster in the making far beyond where even we are today if this continues for another cycle.