To: matt dillabough who wrote (15371 ) 7/12/2005 4:06:32 PM From: Proud_Infidel Respond to of 25522 Three Picks In Chip Equipment 07.12.05, 2:23 PM ET SG Cowen said to expect "cautious optimism" from chip equipment firms at Semicon West, the largest tradeshow for the semiconductor equipment industry, and said its two favorite front-end suppliers continue to be Applied Materials (nasdaq: AMAT - news - people ) and KLA-Tencor (nasdaq: KLAC - news - people ). "While we expect only limited direct commentary on the second quarter/third quarter prior to reporting which begins next week, we expect a constructive tone at the conference which will largely focus on products and technologies required to enable 65 and 45nm design," said SG Cowen. "While most at the show will refrain from discussing Q2/Q3, we expect a cautiously optimistic tone at the show. Despite concern from bears about a looming fall off in memory orders, we doubt this scenario will find much support. Rather, most will point to improving foundry businesses as foreshadowing a spending rebound in this sector." The research firm said Applied Materials will benefit from its leverage to foundries while "short-term tech buys" for 65 nanometer products will benefit KLA-Tencor. "We continue to favor larger suppliers on the front-end--Applied Materials is our favorite followed by KLA-Tencor," said SG Cowen. "On the back-end, orders look to have bottomed already--though we don't expect more than a modest short-term pick-up. Credence Systems (nasdaq: CMOS - news - people ) is our favorite here for more speculative smaller cap investors looking for leverage." SG Cowen said it was "still too early to just 'buy the group'" but recommended investors gradually increase exposure. It added, "We'd expect the overall group to trade up during the show then soften a bit as the reality of in-line or lackluster earnings set in next week. That said, we continue to believe that this is a good time to begin increasing exposure to the group in anticipation of a modest turn in the next several quarters."