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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JDN who wrote (691639)7/12/2005 3:25:38 PM
From: steve dietrich  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769670
 
Iran will effectively rule Iraq in the near future, and it is Iraq's democratic right for them to allow that. Don't think that was Bush's intent, but then he never thought the situation out.



To: JDN who wrote (691639)7/12/2005 3:49:51 PM
From: DuckTapeSunroof  Respond to of 769670
 
"I wonder if anyone has ever stopped to think that the Shiites in Iraq, I would think quite friendly to coalition forces, signing a defense pact with Shiites in Iran might be FAVORABLE to us?"

The Shiites and Sunni throughout the region are gearing up for a conflict (and, ultimately I believe, a partition of Iraq). If we choose one side, the other side is our enemy.

Right now it's Saudi Arabia/Syria/Jordan funding and re-arming the Sunni insurgents in Iraq... and Iran partnering up with the Shiites currently ruling Iraq (the Iraqi Shiites are in no shape to take on the better armed and funded Sunnis on their own.)

I have been saying for a couple of years that the biggest beneficiaries of the toppling of Saddam would be the Iraqi Shiites, and Iran. Iran is benefiting form what it could not accomplish in a ten year long war... with maybe a million deaths.

(PS --- despite the fact that Iran is currently a 'US enemy', I believe that it is in everyone's [except for the Sunni former top dogs, and the Monarchs in Saudi Arabia] for the civil war in Iraq to gear up and move to a final resolution... likely leading to the breakup of Iraq into three *mini states*. Any efforts to prevent this are likely to just be like 'pissing in the wind'... futile and, 'it all comes back to us'.)

"If shiites wanted to take over Iraq they dont need Iran to do so."

Not so. they are out-gunned, under-funded, and ill-trained right now.

"I am not concerned about Iran and Iraq joining forces or something like that."

Nope... but the Saudis sure are (they have a pretty significant minority Shiite population --- very inconveniently located in the oil-rich region --- that they have been suppressing for a long time. A strong Shia Iraq will encourage many of the Shia in Saudi Arabia to want to break away from the corrupt and oppressive Royals and merge with 'Iraq'.)