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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: GST who wrote (166233)	7/16/2005 1:48:36 PM
From: one_less	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

"What are the odds of a coup?" Huge. I would put it close to 100%. Pakistan is regionally and militarily separated into five distinct regions controlled by five distinct military partitions. When there is enough disfavor with Musharaf or when he gets assassinated they military leaders will come together and throw their support behind a new one. Currently there are many taliban types in the military. At some point I would like to see them return to a more traditional democratic system supported by the military.

To: GST who wrote (166233)	7/16/2005 2:56:53 PM
From: bentway	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 281500

I see Pakistan as the most worrisome country out there. Unstable, Islamic and armed with nukes and missiles to deliver them. If it were to fall into the hands of fundamentalists willing to sacrifice their entire country as a suicide bomber sacrifices his life, we could easily have the unthinkable occur. Imagine a nuclear exchange between Pakistan and Israel, and the possible consequences. fas.org thebulletin.org

To: GST who wrote (166233)	7/16/2005 3:30:12 PM
From: Sun Tzu	Respond to of 281500

>> Pakistan was also the only country that I know of to recognize the Taliban as the legitimate government of Afghanistan, Saudi and UAE also recognized and funded the Taliban. Prior to the soviet withdrawl, Reagan called them (or what later named itself as Taliban) "The moral equivalent of our founding fathers". >> What are the odds of a coup? "The mood of your girlfriend, the weather in Karachi, and the future of the government are the 3 great instabilities (unknowns)" is an old saying in Pakistan.