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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dale Baker who wrote (1927)	7/20/2005 12:07:19 PM
From: Lane3	Respond to of 541731

Could you please elaborate on what you mean here? Sometimes things just die out over time or with changes of circumstances. Children often don't follow their parents' paths but have interests and issues of their own. Or something extraneous happens, like a natural disaster or a change in climate pattern or technological advance or discovery of a natural resource or a cultural event that changes the underlying culture or priorities or practicalities. Or sometimes they just overextend themselves in one way or another. Movements don't go on forever. If we are attuned to such things in the world of the terrorists, we can foster those things that defuse terrorism and mitigate those that support it. Education and affluence in those cultures work in our favor. Globalization can, too, if we're careful about it. Today, Shining Path counts several hundred die-hards holed up in Andean and jungle areas whose biggest recent actions were a 2002 car bomb in Lima and a 2003 kidnapping. Indeed.

To: Dale Baker who wrote (1927)	7/20/2005 8:50:25 PM
From: TimF	Respond to of 541731

FYI, someone mentioned Shining Path. In western terms, even one car bomb in a capital city would qualify as too much. Perhaps but the fact that they are reduced to such things (a car bomb or kidnapping every now and then from causing tens of thousands of deaths and being considered a real threat to the government) would probably put them in the "marginalized" group that I talked about. Some groups that become marginalized surrender, or make some agreement to get just a tiny bit (perhaps even just to avoid prosecution and punishment), others fade away. In some cases they make some dramatic serious of attacks of set up some last stand and truly get wiped out almost to the last man but that probably only happens in a minority of cases. It would also be a small minority of cases where an insurgency that has been marginalized to the extent that the Shining Path has, grows back in to its former "glory". In real terms it has been defeated, even if it has not been totally eliminated. Tim