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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Kirk © who wrote (22058)	7/27/2005 6:27:55 PM
From: Tim Bagwell	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 42834

Thanks for the info Kirk, Yes, I didn't want to crank out too much data so I just picked 30% for the QQQQ amount as Dipy suggested. But as you say, it could go as high as 50%. I put this in a spreadsheet so I could look at different scenarios. I wont repeat the table but if you up the QQQQ amount to 50% of cash then the total portfolio value would be +9.5% today. So it's still a small gain but less than if you had held money market, CD's or Treasury bonds over the 5 years. Looking back on that call it was just so bad in so many ways that it's hard to imagine it came from Brinker. But it certainly did. Your also right about the risk adjusted return. The smart investor considers the effect that risk has on the portfolio. Because of the beta, an investment in QQQQ must have significantly higher gain than the Wilshire 5000 or it becomes a bad call and lost opportunity. That really was the bottom line. All of Brinker's individual issues in recent years like QQQQ and all his stock picks have been bombs. And they are really big bombs when you add in a risk adjusted number.